BamaTX play nice. No one is asking for free consultation. It's called Radio Discussion. I see roughly 25-30 million dollars per year in the Mexican Regional format (one format) with only 3 players KTJM, KLTN AND KQQK.
Even Mexico City with a 21 million person metro only had two grupera stations for decades; a third entered this year and it remains to be seen if it can be profitable. Media buyers in Mexico are not fond of the format as it only reaches C-, D and E Income levels.
New census estimates show the Hispanic population growth continues to surpass white population growth, with Hispanics on pace to soon represent a plurality. 37% of the Houston metro area is Hispanic, the fifth-highest percentage among U.S. metros
There are quite a number of markets with higher percentages... from Miami to San Antonio to LA to Riverside-San Bernardino to Fresno to Bakersfield to El Paso to McAllen to Albuquerque to Stockton. Houston is up there, but there are more than 5 measured markets with higher percentages of Hispanics.
How can you say the Market is saturated?
There are only a couple of formats that are viable for Spanish language stations in the Southwestern US, and all are covered in Houston, with two of the formats covered by several stations. If any of those formats is further fragmented, the revenue will just go to the top two or three anyway. Most Hispanic buys do not go very deep. And the way LBI used to operate was to bottom feed, picking up the businesses that could not afford the "good" stations so they had to deal with Lenard & Company.
I would ask David the same question in New York,Chicago or Los Angeles.The Hispanic growth ia projected by 2050 to be 132.8 million people, or 30.2% of the nation's total projected population on that date.
You already have markets like ABQ and San Antonio and El Paso and McAllen where less than a quarter of Hispanics are Spanish dominant. In no market except Miami (where the whole economy is based on services for Latin America) is the percentage of Spanish dominants growing. In ones like LA and Phoenix and Dallas and Houston, less than half of all Hispanics are Spanish dominant.
The rest don't use Spanish language radio.
Oh, and many Hispanics who come to the US don't listen to Spanish language music. There are huge shares from Mexico to Argentina for stations playing English language MOR, AC, Oldies, Top 40 and other blends. My first station in Ecuador over 50 years ago played half non-Spanish language music and it was #1 in the market.
In any case, you have to look at Spanish dominants... about 18% (or less) of Houston, not 36%. And you have to consider that many Spanish dominant Hispanics listen to English language music.
Just so you know the reason I was asking David about a new Mexican Regional format in the Houston Market was
A.) Big players like I heart Media flipped stations across the country to Spanish with very little success (KLOL and some Preciosa Networks) being the exception.
Preciosa was a bad copy of Univision's Recuerdo... and Recuerdo was one of the few "new" formats ever created in the US in the last three or four decades in any language. And even Univision's version has gone through metamorphosis as there is not as much replacement 80's, 90's and more recent material to replace the 60's and 70's songs that built Recuerdo starting in 2000.
B.) Was I heart and CBS ahead of their time?
No, they jut did not know how to program.
C.) Could a General Market player like Entercom or Radio One flip a station like KROI . "I know it was done in the past" but that was 15 years ago.
With the current economic situation, the opportunities to promote a new station are limited, and the job of getting through to Hispanic media buyers is far more challenging. Probability not even 5% probability any significant signal station would switch.
So Please BamaTX don't take my questions for ignorance. Don't be that guy at the bar that gets angry picking fights with first 2 beers. Enjoy the booze we are just Radio guys shooting the **** for a while.
If you look at the market and the current depressed Coronavirus revenue, nobody is going to discard even limited revenue on an ongoing format to start an uncertain new format in a crowded marketplace.